ELO Rankings

All 48 World Cup 2026 nations ranked by ELO rating — updated as new match data arrives.

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ELO Intelligence

Spain leads the world at 2172 ELO — 59 points above Argentina.
The market prices reputation. ELO prices reality.
ELO gaps of 100+ points translate to a ~70% win probability in model simulations.

Confederation

Group

#	Nation	ELO	Change	Conf.	Group
1	Spain	2172	—	UEFA	H
2	Argentina	2113	—	CONMEBOL	J
3	France	2062	—	UEFA	I
4	England	2042	—	UEFA	L
5	Colombia	1998	—	CONMEBOL	K
6	Brazil	1978	—	CONMEBOL	C
7	Portugal	1976	—	UEFA	K
8	Netherlands	1959	—	UEFA	F
9	Ecuador	1933	—	CONMEBOL	E
10	Croatia	1932	—	UEFA	L
11	Norway	1922	—	UEFA	I
12	Germany	1910	—	UEFA	E
13	Switzerland	1897	—	UEFA	B
14	Uruguay	1890	—	CONMEBOL	H
15	Türkiye	1880	—	UEFA	D
16	Japan	1878	—	AFC	F
17	Senegal	1869	—	CAF	I
18	Mexico	1857	—	CONCACAF	A
19	Belgium	1850	—	UEFA	G
20	Paraguay	1833	—	CONMEBOL	D
21	Austria	1818	—	UEFA	J
22	Morocco	1806	—	CAF	C
23	Canada	1805	—	CONCACAF	B
24	Korea Republic	1784	—	AFC	A
25	Australia	1774	—	AFC	D
26	Iran	1755	—	AFC	G
27	United States	1747	—	CONCACAF	D
28	Panama	1733	—	CONCACAF	L
29	Czechia	1731	—	UEFA	A
30	Algeria	1728	—	CAF	J
31	Uzbekistan	1728	—	AFC	K
32	Jordan	1689	—	AFC	J
33	Sweden	1660	—	UEFA	F
34	Egypt	1659	—	CAF	G
35	Côte d'Ivoire	1650	—	CAF	E
36	Scotland	1645	—	UEFA	C
37	Saudi Arabia	1635	—	AFC	H
38	Tunisia	1630	—	CAF	F
39	Ghana	1620	—	CAF	L
40	Iraq	1600	—	AFC	I
41	Bosnia & Herzegovina	1580	—	UEFA	B
42	Congo DR	1550	—	CAF	K
43	Haiti	1550	—	CONCACAF	C
44	Qatar	1550	—	AFC	B
45	South Africa	1500	—	CAF	A
46	Cabo Verde	1500	—	CAF	H
47	Curaçao	1500	—	CONCACAF	E
48	New Zealand	1500	—	OFC	G